Should I Still Buy Real Estate After All That Has Happened?

Rehoboth Beach Delaware is called the Nation'sDelaware and Pennsylvania. The bedrooms for
Summer Capital because we are such a commonthose who run our national capital reach out a
second home and entertainment location for thehundred miles from the center of town. CSW is
powerful and influential people of Washington D.C.not predicting the 20% annual real estate
There are few people making over $75,000 aproperty value increases of the last few years
year in the DC professions who do not frequentbut they are predicting a 4.2 % annual increase
this area when they need privacy, space, freshfor the DC related area now instead of the 3.8 %
ocean air and relaxation. It's not just summer thatincrease they predicted before the horrors and
draws them anymore, they come year 'round.attacks of 9-11. They are predicting downturns in
And it's not just Rehoboth Beach anymore, theyvalues elsewhere and deeper downturns than
populate Lewes, Dewey Beach, Bethany Beach,before in all the other major markets.CSW
Fenwick Island and all the little towns near theacknowledges that tourism to DC will be hurt
Delaware Beaches.During the past several yearssome by the attacks. Personally I know that
all real estate, especially waterfront real estate orCrystal City has increased traffic of late by
beach real estate anywhere has been asightseers who have recently come to DC and
phenomenal investment. Rehoboth area increaseswant to view the destruction of part of the
have been as much as 30-40% per year in thePentagon. Additionally, room rentals are only
ocean block for the last few years! Part of thisslightly hurt in the Washington D. C. area as
surge was just a catch-up from nearly a decadetourists normally in DC for the fall events have
of relatively flat appreciation rates.Whilebeen partially replaced by consultants and visiting
Washington D.C., along with numerous other citiesdignitaries. Along with the upgraded appreciation
has seen price increases in real estate of 15-30%predictions for the DC area real estate market
per year over the last few years. While the restCSW has farther downgraded it's prediction for
of the country has little if any appreciation in realappreciation rates in Atlanta, Boston, Chicago,
estate values this year DC has remained hot,Cleveland, Denver, Detroit, Los Angeles, Miami,
though not as hot as last year. Most areas of ourMinneapolis, Nashville, New York, Orlando,
country have had no appreciation in prices onPhiladelphia, Phoenix, Portland, San Diego, San
average for this year - except for small portionsFrancisco, and Seattle.Here are my personal
of some metropolitan areas.The entire economypredictions, based on over thirty years of selling
has cooled way down. Globally, real estate is notproperty here in the Delaware resort areas. I also
expected to do very well over the next fewmaintain an almost daily connection to the goings
years. In addition to residential real estate beingon of the DC real estate markets. Washington DC
hard hit -- retail, commercial and industrial realwill experience an influx of highly paid professionals
estate has been mostly languishing, unsold even atfor the defense and research industries as well as
lower prices and even with commercial mortgagecomputer security, personal security and warfare
rates of half what they were a few yearsrelated services.There will also be a terrific
ago.This Delaware Resort area and Washingtonincrease in any and all Internet related firms that
D.C. are predictably different from anywhere else.service the staff of our government and
DC is where people flock when any nationalgovernment contractors who will fight the new
emergency or military expansion is underway. Wewar. Much of this war will be fought with
are seeing unprecedented buildups in military,keyboard, mouse and joystick. These new hi-tech
government and private sectors as a result ofworkers and the ones already involved will be
our instant reaction to the attacks and the nearlyunder increased stress and accepting increased
immediate national decision to mount a world widepay over the next few years as we fight a
high-tech war against the terrorists and their allies.high-tech war against terrorism. These same
This Delaware Beach area is a part timefactors and more will give increased reasons and
bedroom, escape, business-meeting and barfunds for more people to visit our beach areas.
community for the Washingtonian influential andAs always some of these visitors will decide to
powerful elite. Here they can get away and plan inpurchase here. The visitors and new buyers bring
private for what must be done!The Wall Streetothers with them and more of these visits are
Journal posted an interesting article "Wherebusiness related now.Washington DC firms and
Housing is Headed in Wake of Attacks" on 09/21companies that are financially related to these
2001 by June Fletcher and Danielle Reed regardingfirms will rapidly be adding highly paid staff and
the future of real estate -after the attacks.subcontractors. This will require a huge increase in
Before the attacks Real Estate sales were theevery kind of service industry as well as all the
major factor keeping the rest of the economyhospitality industry relatives. The more highly paid
from plummeting more terribly than it has. Theand more highly stressed war related workers will
attacks have badly shocked the world real estatepredictably seek vacation time, relaxation time
market. The residential, commercial, industrial andand close by meeting sites in Rehoboth, Dewey,
even the government acquisition of property inBethany, Fenwick and Lewes just as they always
the major cities has lagged or stopped almosthave. More and more of these highly paid folks will
everywhere. No one knows how long this will lastalso need to visit us more often, for longer
of course.Since the New York, D. C. Pentagon,periods, and increasingly throughout the year for
and Pennsylvania attacks on the World Trademyriad reasons. Many of them will move here and
Center, The Pentagon and the attempts on Thebegin to work here from phones, fax, laptops and
White House; we have reason to review manyhome computers. We are seeing it happen
things. General real estate markets world widealready. We, as a result, will need to have more
have been drastically affected since the warand more of our resort infrastructure and more
began -- and the war may last a long time. Part ifof our businesses open, year 'round. We will need
not most of the instant real estate marketto employ more and better trained people in
change was due to the banking industry whichevery area here and they too will need housing
was one of the most severely affected of all USand services. We are growing!We will see an
business. Many of the offices in New York thatevery increasing growth rate for those who
were destroyed were central banking centerstelecommute from here at the beach - part or full
from around the world. We are beginning totime. Already I see a large percentage of our
recover from the banking difficulties now. In factprospective customers and buyers that are now
our in-house mortgage broker Prosperityor soon will be working from home. Those who
Mortgage which uses Wells Fargo funding is upspend long weekends here in the beach area with
and running full speed, no problems. We have thea laptop and cell phone to handle professional
lowest residential mortgage rates in 40 yearsresponsibilities are an ever increasing group. Kate
right now. But full technical recovery of theand I work from home most of the time. Our
banking industry will take a while.The real estatewaterfront neighbor is a mortgage broker and is
market of Washington DC, our feederoften on her balcony with her laptop and phones
community, remains strongest in the nation.doing business. Kate often does a full day's work
According to Case, Shiller and Weiss known asout at the end of our pier. We are home workers
CSW; and claimed by the New York Times to beand every month more of our customers are as
the leading residential real estate analysts in thewell. Several of our recent purchasers work at
world; we are heading deeper into a declining realhome full or part time.As a result of all these
estate market for this country and others, theproperty appreciating factors; I wonder if our
exception being Washington D.C. CSW is predictingDelaware Beach Area and Rehoboth Beach real
DC to appreciate and to increase in appreciationestate will actually outstrip the appreciation of DC
more than previously predicted. This prediction, ofreal estate once again.By Copyright September
course, includes the residential areas around22, 2001Jody Hudson is a Realtor with 35 years
Metropolitan Washington D.C. such as Northernexperience in American and Delaware Real Estate.
Virginia, Maryland and to a lesser degree parts of